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Reserves

Sp 18 Risk Analysis and Modeling

White, Mark
SAIS Reserve Library
Number of results to display per page
Nassim Nicholas Taleb. 2010 .

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. 1960-

Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb. 2007 .

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. 1960-

Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
Francis Fukuyama, editor. 2007 .

"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and…
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    HV551.3 .B57 2007
    Available
4. Complexity: life at the edge of chaos Book , Print in English
Roger Lewin. 1999 .

Lewin, Roger.

The view from Chaco Canyon -- Beyond order and magic -- Edge of chaos discovered -- Explosions and extinctions -- Life in a computer -- Stability and the reality of Gaia -- Complexity and the reality of progress -- The veil of consciousness -- The view from the edge…
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    B105.C473 L48 1999
    Available
Leonard Mlodinow. 2009 .

Mlodinow, Leonard, 1954-

An irreverent look at how randomness influences our lives, and how our successes and failures are far more dependent on chance events than we recognize.
James R. Evans, David L. Olson. 2002 .

Evans, James R. (James Robert), 1950-

Pt. 1 Simulation Fundamentals -- Ch. 1 Introduction to Simulation -- Ch. 2 Simulation Using Excel -- Ch. 3 Probability and Statistics in Simulation -- Pt. 2 Simulation in Risk Analysis -- Ch. 4 Risk Analysis Using Crystal Ball -- Ch. 5 Applications of Risk Analysis…
  • SAIS Audio Visual
    SAIS Computer File 1024
    Available
    • Ausio-Visual materials are shelved behind the Circulation Desk.
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    HD30.213 .E93 2002
    Available
    • Text accompanied by CD-ROM.
John A. Sokolowski, Catherine M. Banks. 2009 .

Sokolowski, John A., 1953-

I. Principles of Modeling and Simulation: Advancing Global Studies -- 1. Modeling and Simulation: What, When, and Why -- 2. Research Methodologies for Modeling Global Events -- II. Modeling Paradigms -- 3. System Dynamics -- 4. Agent-Based Modeling and Social Networks…
8. Project economics and decision analysis Book , Print in English
M.A. Mian. 2011 .

Mian, M. A. (Mohammed A.)

note: 1. Introduction -- Profit Planning -- Typical oil company objectives -- role of management in planning -- Planning of capital expenditures -- Some Basic Principles of Economics -- Demand, supply, and equilibrium price -- Crude oil price volatility -- Energy independence…
  • SAIS Audio Visual
    SAIS Comp. File 1044
    Multiple Items
    • Audio-Visual materials are shelved behind the Circulation Desk.
    Includes
    • DecisionTools CD
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    HD9560.5 .M53 2011
    Multiple Items
    • Accompanying CDROM insert has the call number SAIS Comp. File 1044
    Includes
    • vol. 2 only
9. Risk: a very short introduction Book , Print in English
Baruch Fischhoff and John Kadvany. 2011 .

Fischoff, Baruch.

1. Risk decisions -- 2. Defining risk -- 3. Analysing risk -- 4. Making risk decisions -- 5. Risk perception -- 6. Risk communication -- 7. Risk, culture, and society.
11. Risk analysis: a quantitative guide Book , Print in English
David Vose. 2008 .

Vose, David.

Why do a risk analysis? -- Planning a risk analysis -- The quality of a risk analysis -- Choice of model structure -- Understanding and using the results of a risk analysis -- Probability mathematics and simulation -- Building and running a model -- Some basic random processes…
12. Risk and decision analysis in projects Book , Print in English
John Schuyler. 2001 .

Schuyler, John R., 1950-

Annotation Schuyler has over 25 years of experience in economic evaluation, training, and management. Here he presents a text on decision analysis (DA), the discipline which aids decision makers in making sound choices under conditions of uncertainty. Coverage includes an…
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    HD30.23 .S38 2001
    Available
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    HD30.23 .S38 2001 c. 2
    Available
Nate Silver. 2012 .

Silver, Nate, 1978-

The author has built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and has become a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, he examines the world of prediction.
  • Eisenhower B Level
    CB158 .S54 2012 c. 1
    Checked out
    Checked out, Due: Feb 25 2018
    Another patron is currently using this item. Use BorrowDirect to request a different copy. For additional help, ask a library staff member.
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    CB158 .S54 2012
    Available
14. Simplicity, complexity, and modelling Book , Online in English
edited by Mike Christie ... [et al.]. 2011 .

15. Simplicity, complexity, and modelling Book , Print in English
edited by Mike Christie ... [et al.]. 2011 .

1. Introduction / Stephen Senn -- 1.1. origins of the SCAM project -- 1.2. scope of modelling in the modern world -- 1.3. different professions and traditions engaged in modelling -- 1.4. Different types of models -- 1.5. Different purposes for modelling…
16. Thinking in systems: a primer Book , Print in English
Donella H. Meadows ; edited by Diana Wright. 2008 .

Meadows, Donella H.

"Thinking in Systems is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute's Diana Wright, this primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and…
  • Eisenhower Location to be Assigned
    On Order
    Use the request button to place a hold on this item OR use BorrowDirect to request a different copy. For additional help, ask a library staff member.
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    QA402 .M43 2008
    Available
17. Thinking in systems: a primer Book , Online in English
Donella H. Meadows ; edited by Diana Wright. 2009 .

Meadows, Donella H.

"Thinking in Systems is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem-solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. This essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world showing readers how to…
18. Thinking, fast and slow Book , Print in English
Daniel Kahneman. 2011 .

Kahneman, Daniel, 1934-

In this work the author, a recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for his seminal work in psychology that challenged the rational model of judgment and decision making, has brought together his many years of research and thinking in one book. He explains the two…
  • Eisenhower C Level
    BF441 .K238 2011 c. 1
    Checked out
    Checked out, Due: Feb 12 2018
    Another patron is currently using this item. Use BorrowDirect to request a different copy. For additional help, ask a library staff member.
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    BF441 .K238 2011
    Available
  • SAIS Reserve Stacks
    BF441 .K238 2011 c. 2
    Available
  • SOM Course Reserve -- Welch Services Center, Welch Library Lower Level
    BF 44 K12 2011 c, 1
    Transit
    • On Reserve for 700.623 Berger. 2 HOUR CHECK OUT
    Use the request button to place a hold on this item OR use BorrowDirect to request a different copy. For additional help, ask a library staff member.